Monopoly Live Backtester
Set your bets and see what they would have paid over the last 4,887 real spins.
Latest results
04:07 PMChance can't be bet on. Its cash prizes pay on your whole bet, and its multipliers boost the next result.
How smart is this mix?
Average · 94.00% long-run return
Over time these bets give back about $94.00 for every $100 bet, so you lose about $6.00 per $100.
Biggest drag: 5 (91.30%). Moving that bet to 2 would make it 94.82%.
From Evolution's published RTP for each bet (Chance included), weighted by your stakes. Green 95.5%+, yellow 93.5–95.5%, red below. Every bet still has a house edge.
Balance check
Risky
That’s a big bet for the balance behind it. A smaller stake gives the good spins time to show up.
- ✕Stake too big for your balance. $100.00 only covers 16 spins at $6.00 a spin. Aim for 50 or more.
- ✓Bonuses as a side bet. 33% of your stake is on bonuses, the rest keeps you ticking over.
- ✓Regular hits. Something you bet on paid on 100% of real spins.
- !Covering everything. You get something back on 100% of spins, but only 17% pay more than your total stake. Most "wins" are smaller losses.
- !Real bust risk. 47% of simulated 100-spin sessions ran out of money.
“Balance it for me” keeps your $6.00 stake and spreads it: 2 $3.20, 10 $1.60, 2 Rolls $0.80, 4 Rolls $0.40.
$6.00 a spin over 1,000 real spins
since Oct 27, 11:48 PMBiggest spin: 2 Rolls at 110x (with a 5x Chance multiplier) on Oct 28, 03:14 AM
Run it 2,000 times
One backtest is one path. This plays 2,000 sessions from $100.00, each built from spins drawn at random out of the 4,887 real results, to show the range of what this strategy does.
How often each spot hit
Bar = actual over the selected spins. White mark = the wheel's share of segments. A round boosted by a Chance multiplier counts for Chance and for the spot it landed on.
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How it works
Every live Monopoly Live round is recorded as it settles: the wheel result, any Chance card, and the full 2 Rolls or 4 Rolls bonus on the board. The backtest replays your bets over those rounds in order and pays each win the way the game does, with your stake returned.
Chance is handled the way the table handles it. A cash prize pays on your whole bet. A multiplier card boosts the result of the respin, so a 5 after a 3x Chance pays 15 to 1. Bonus rounds pay what Mr. Monopoly actually collected on the board.
The simulation shuffles the same real rounds into 2,000 new sessions, so you can see how often a strategy ends up ahead, not just one lucky or unlucky stretch. Prefer the other wheel? Try the Crazy Time backtester.